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Hot, warm or frozen? The art of choosing the right leads for your business

2025-11-20 10:07

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Hot, warm or frozen? The art of choosing the right leads for your business

A practical and ironic guide to understand when to focus on hot, warm or cold leads based on the brand, product and market maturity, avoiding mistakes

A practical and ironic guide to understand when to focus on hot, warm or cold leads based on the brand, product and market maturity, avoiding costly mistakes and unrealistic expectations.


When I talk to clients, they all want the same thing: leads “ready to buy by yesterday.” But then you discover that the brand is little-known, the product is as complicated as a GDPR compliance manual and the budget is that of a startup that lives on coffee and goodwill. And there comes the fateful question: is it better to focus on hot, warm or cold leads? The answer, as always in business is “it depends”. But not from an oracle, but from the type of brand, the product and above all the level of patience of the company.


Let's start with hot leads, the category preferred by CEOs who want results before the end of the meeting. Hot leads only work if you have a brand that "warms up" on its own: companies with strong equity, simple to understand products and an already existing demand on the market. The benefit is obvious: immediate conversions, short sales cycles, very little romance. The critical issue is equally clear: you cannot expect fireworks where the market only sees an extinguished torch. If the brand isn't strong or the product requires education, going all-in on hot leads only produces disappointment and nervous CFOs.


Then we come to warm leads, the middle ground where most companies should live, even if they don't want to admit it. The warm lead is someone who has already heard of the brand, perhaps interacted with a piece of content, downloaded a guide, commented on a video. He's not in love, but he's not indifferent either. The benefits here are more balanced: sustainable costs, constant pipeline, decent conversion rates. The critical issues come when the company thinks that the warm lead is automatically ready to purchase. It's not. You need nourishment, follow-up, sensible content, a minimum of strategy. Which, for some companies, is already a significant obstacle.


Finally, cold leads, the most feared but also the most misunderstood. The cold lead doesn't know who you are, what you do, and probably didn't even know they needed you five minutes ago. Yet, many companies start right here, convinced that "more contacts equals more sales". The benefit of cold lies in scalability and the possibility of building demand where it does not exist. It is the right choice for new brands, disruptive products or markets that need to be educated. The criticality is clear: higher costs, longer cycles, low conversion rates and a commercial team that must be more resilient than a Kenyan marathon runner. But if executed well, a cold strategy is the only way to create the future rather than chasing the present.


The choice of strategy therefore depends on a combination of factors that companies often ignore hoping that lead generation will work "magic". Brand equity, product complexity, market maturity and desired speed are the real decision drivers. A strong brand with a simple product? Go hot and capitalize. A brand under construction with a product that takes time to understand? Warm all life. A startup that wants to educate a market that doesn't yet exist? Cold, but with patience and strong nerves.


The ironic but useful truth is that you don't choose just one path. The most solid companies combine the three approaches as an orchestra conductor would: different instruments, different moments, a single harmonious result. Hot leads give immediate oxygen, warm leads keep you breathing, cold leads build the future. And if there's one thing I've learned from years of consulting, it's that the only unforgivable mistake in lead generation is thinking that there is a shortcut.


The rest is method, discipline and a minimum of irony. Because in the end every lead, hot, warm or cold, is still a person. Do you want to delve deeper into the topic? Don't hesitate to contact me.

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